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Trading Video: Equity Rally Inspires Little Confidence, FX Turns to Rate Speculation

Trading Video: Equity Rally Inspires Little Confidence, FX Turns to Rate Speculation

2014-08-19 02:06:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
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Talking Points:

• Global equity indexes surged to start the week, but few expect a new era of momentum

• Troubling data from China adds to a general concern for global growth trends and views for stimulus

• Rate speculation will be of particular interest for Dollar, Pound and Kiwi traders ahead

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An advance without conviction, equities are following a familiar pattern to start this week. Looking to absorb the risk premium priced in the past month, traders are banking on complacency for another short-term run. Yet, the long-term view for global growth, financial returns and stimulus keep the cap on more meaningful trends. Adding additional weight to a growing list of troubles, Chinese data Monday showed the country could eventually capsize sentiment itself. Meanwhile, the more motivating fundamental theme of relative monetary policy expectations is quickly taking control of the market. Stimulus expectations for the Euro were padded by disappointing August economic surveys. Ahead, the US, UK and New Zealand will see their respective currencies driven by inflation data that will tell us when/if the central banks will once again hike rates. we discuss these themes in today's Trading Video.

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