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Trading Video: Risk Trends and Rate Expectations Amid FOMC, NFPs, GDP

Trading Video: Risk Trends and Rate Expectations Amid FOMC, NFPs, GDP

2014-07-26 00:17:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

• The coming week looks to be one dominated by rate speculation, but risk trends are coiled like a spring

• US event risk including the Fed rate decision, July NFPs and 2Q US GDP look to dominate headline

• Yet, event risk alone will not ensure strong trends from the likes of EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDJPY Market conditions change, and our strategy should reflect those changes.

We have coded the DailyFX-Plus strategies for Breakout, Range and Momentum to adapt to these market shifts.

With the US docket alone carrying the quarterly GDP reading, nonfarm payrolls report and FOMC rate decision; it looks like we are set for a busy week. These and other major fundamental catalysts are certainly high profile and easily segue into one of the FX market's primary themes: interest rate expectations. However, a wary eye must be kept on the current for sentiment as a general trend is developing between bottoming volatility indexes, consolidating carry trades and diverging performance between risk-sensitive asset classes. As tides turn, key pairs mark progress and event risk approaches; we discuss how to prepare in the weekend Trading Video.

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