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Trading Video: Markets Diverge, Dollar and Risk Struggle, NZD Drops on Rate Hike

Trading Video: Markets Diverge, Dollar and Risk Struggle, NZD Drops on Rate Hike

2014-07-24 01:01:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

• The S&P 500 hit a record high without risk soaring, and GBPUSD's technical break hasn't throttled the USD

• This past session's top market movers where the Pound, Aussie and Kiwi - all on rate speculation

• Ahead, the focus turns to the Euro and back to the underlying themes that have seen tentative breaks

Market conditions change, and our strategy should reflect those changes. We have coded the DailyFX-Plus strategies for Breakout, Range and Momentum to adapt to these market shifts.

Recently, some of the financial market's high-profile benchmarks - S&P 500, EURUSD, VIX - have taken steps towards substantial trend change. Yet, even where these early moves are still standing; conviction is still lacking through momentum and conformity from their most liquid peers remains notably absent. Complacency is difficult to shake as the market's default characteristic trait; but the longer these divergences last, the closer we are to the inevitable tide change. In the meantime, interest rate expectations were stirred behind the Pound, Australian and New Zealand dollars - with some surprising reactions. Moving forward we will see speculative appetite and monetary policy forecasts will once again share the spotlight. We discuss these themes and their trade implications in today's Trading Video.

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