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Trading Video: One More Potential Risk Spark This Week in China GDP

Trading Video: One More Potential Risk Spark This Week in China GDP

2014-04-16 01:18:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
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Talking Points:

• Equities, yen crosses and volatility measures failed to leverage risk aversion into a self-sustaining run

• With an expected liquidity drain later in the week, Chinese GDP is one of a few capable sparks left

• Volatility may have been limited, but the US and UK inflation figures further alter rate potential

Market conditions change, and our strategy should reflect those changes. We have coded the DailyFX-Plus strategies for Breakout, Range and Momentum to adapt to these market shifts.

A late surge in US equities curbed fears and hopes that broader speculative trends were at imminent risk of a major reversal. While this and other risk benchmarks are not far from meaningful technical markers associated to prevailing trends, the expected liquidity drain through the latter half of this week is quickly sapping conviction. And the scale of sentiment necessary to break and reverse such a systemic bearing of complacency and yield search is exponentially more difficult to induce with the market well below full capacity. We have a few more opportunities to stir risk; but as we move forward, the trade opportunities and the method for trading them changes. We discuss risk trends, the impact of China's data and changes in medium-term rate forecast for the UK and US in today's Trading Video.

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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