Talking Points:
• The FOMC aftermath allowed moderate follow through for the dollar, but risk trends stabilized quickly
• Where the dollar won a strong EURUSD break on rate forecasts, GBPUSD needs another push at 1.6500
• Will a move away from open stimulus from the Fed, ECB, BoE and BoJ contribute to the sentiment collapse?
Market conditions change, and our strategy should reflect those changes. We have coded the DailyFX-Plus strategies for Breakout, Range and Momentum to adapt to these market shifts.
In the aftermath of the FOMC rate decision, the dollar has found good follow through on EURUSD. However, bigger technical levels are coming in view for other majors like GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD - and that shift in the Fed's rate hike time frame may not translate into a lasting run for the greenback. Can GBPUSD break 1.6500 as their competitive yields balance out? What about AUDUSD at 0.9000 or NZDUSD at 0.8500 where the carry is more significant and rate outlook just as remarkable on the other side of the pair? Will a universal shift away from boundless stimulus by all the major central banks as of late usher in - or even trigger - a collapse in risk appetite? We discuss these trading consideration and more in today's Trading Video.
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