Forex: What Does the Risk Backdrop Say About a AUDUSD Breakout?
• Volatility - a stand in for sentiment - continues to slide into greater extremes
• There are plenty of trade options for a realized 'fear' swell but few triggers to instigate
• We look at AUDUSD and other pairs in context of the volatility backdrop
Sign up for John’s email distribution list, here.
AUDUSD has worked its way into a clear pennant formation. This technical pattern typically ends in with continuation, but volatility and the fundamentals they represent will have a say in its ultimate direction. For some currencies and markets (S&P 500, Australian dollar), low volatility is a key support as it further encourages investors to expose themselves for greater gains. For others (US dollar, yen, Treasuries), strength is found in the 'fear' assessed in a higher volatility backdrop. In today's video, we look at the prevailing trends - and the extremes they promote - in the context of trade setups on AUDUSD, yen crosses and other primed markets.
Download the consecutive bar indicator John used in today's video to measure the historical significance and over-extended level of the markets.
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.