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Forex: EUR/USD and Risk Trends Give Early Reversal Warnings

Forex: EUR/USD and Risk Trends Give Early Reversal Warnings

2012-12-20 05:12:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

When fundamentals, technicals and market conditions align; good trade setups form. We were already seeing risk-sensitive pairs rally on crisis relief and edge into oversold territory when measured against actual economic and financial forecasts. Yet, the technicals had yet to give a signal for a stalled risk rally and subsequent reversal...that is until this past trading session. After peaking into multi-week, month and year highs, we have seen key sentiment measures put in for short-term reversals. With a EURUSD and AUDUSD channel break, yen crosses drop and S&P 500 retreat; there is clear shudder in risk trends. Yet, we still have an issue - market conditions. Liquidity is draining into the end of this week and trend development (bullish or bearish) will temper. Is there enough participation and conviction in the market to drive a deeper reversal from EURUSD and the Dow Jones Industrial Average? We discuss this and more in today's video.

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