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Dollar May Soon Show Strength in 'Risk Off' and 'Risk On' Markets

Dollar May Soon Show Strength in 'Risk Off' and 'Risk On' Markets

John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist

The US Dollar extended its slide from last week to notch a three-day decline. This is the most consistent bearish series from the greenback since January 27th. Yet, is this correction a lasting return to its 'proper' place as the safe haven / funding currency of the past few years? Or does the impressive rally in US Treasury rates (the longest run since 2006) signify a fundamental change in role for the greenback? If the dollar is written off as an ideal funding currency given the subtle, medium-term shift in the Fed policy forecast from another round of easing to one of tightening; there are few scenarios that would facility another major bear leg. Alternatively, a swell of fear and panic will recall a seemingly unshakable role in the dollar's safe haven status. Could it be that the dollar will soon be in a bullish position regardless of risk trends...

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