Weekly Short Positions Drop 10%
USDJPY: Retail trader data shows 55.2% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.23 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since Oct 15 when USDJPY traded near 111.77; price has moved 0.3% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 2.1% higher than yesterday and 6.1% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 8.6% lower than yesterday and 9.0% lower from last week.
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USD/JPY Trading Sentiment Suggests Further Downside
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests USDJPY prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USDJPY-bearish contrarian trading bias.
--- Written by Jake Schoenleb, DailyFX Research