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US Dollar at Potentially Significant Turning Point versus Swiss Franc

US Dollar at Potentially Significant Turning Point versus Swiss Franc

2013-10-03 15:00:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Product
Share:
ssi_usd-chf_body_Picture_13.png, US Dollar at Potentially Significant Turning Point versus Swiss Franc

Receive the Weekly Speculative Sentiment Index report via PDF via David’s e-mail distribution list.

USDCHFRetail FX traders are their most long the US Dollar against the Swiss Franc since it traded towards SFr 0.7000 in 2011—warning of a potential price and sentiment extreme.

Trade Implications – USDCHF: As with the Euro and British Pound, the fact that traders are so aggressively short the Swiss Franc suggests we might be at a potential top (USDCHF bottom).

The clear caveat is that major extremes and price lows/highs are only clear in hindsight. We’re keeping a close eye on sentiment and may wait until our SSI-based Momentum2 system heads in the opposite direction before getting long.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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