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Swiss Franc Expected to Weaken Further

Swiss Franc Expected to Weaken Further

2012-06-28 16:28:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Product
Share:
ssi_usd-chf_body_Picture_10.png, Swiss Franc Expected to Weaken Further

Retail forex traders remain aggressively net-short the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) against the Swiss Franc as it presses to fresh highs, and such one-sided sentiment gives contrarian signal that the pair may continue to strengthen. Traders first turned net-short the USDCHF as it crossed above SFr 0.9300 through early May. The same crowds briefly turned net-long USD as the pair fell through mid-June, but they’ve since returned to their bearish position.

Exceedingly FX low volatility expectations limits enthusiasm for a much larger break higher, but our technical forecasts favor a USDCHF move above SFr 0.9700 through the coming month of trade.

How do we interpret and trade with the SSI? Watch an FXCM Expo Presentation that explains the SSI.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive the SSI via e-mail and other reports from author David Rodríguez, e-mail subject line “Distribution List” to drodriguez@dailyfx.com; Contact David via Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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