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Swiss Franc Could Turn if Trading Crowds Relent

Swiss Franc Could Turn if Trading Crowds Relent

2011-02-10 15:53:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Product
Share:
ssi_usd-chf_body_Picture_9.png, Swiss Franc Could Turn if Trading Crowds Relent

USDCHF Crowds have remained net-long the US Dollar against the Swiss Franc since the pair traded near the 1.10 mark, giving consistent contrarian signal to stay short the fast-falling pair. Yet a more recent moderation in said ratio warns that declines may slow. The ratio of long to short positions in the USDCHF stands at 1.84 as nearly 65% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.96 as 66% of open positions were long. In detail, long positions are 8.1% lower than yesterday and 16.0% weaker since last week. Short positions are 2.1% lower than yesterday and 59.7% stronger since last week. Open interest is 6.0% weaker than yesterday and 11.1% above its monthly average. We are not yet ready to turn completely bullish the USDCHF based on SSI alone, but the recent shift in crowd sentiment warns that we may be near a reversal.

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