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Euro May See Bigger Bounce as Sentiment Turns

Euro May See Bigger Bounce as Sentiment Turns

2012-01-12 16:37:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Product
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ssi_table_story_body_Picture_11.png, Euro May See Bigger Bounce as Sentiment Turns

Forex trading crowds have sold into recent Euro advances against the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) rallies, underlining risks a shift in trader sentiment could send the Euro/US Dollar higher through short-term trading.

The total number of traders long the Euro against the US Dollar has fallen 24 percent since last week, while short interest has jumped 29 percent through the same stretch. Typically we see such strong moves in sentiment ahead of turning points in price action. It will be critical to watch short-term EURUSD trading, especially as FX futures and options positioning remains near major historical extremes.

We hesitate to buy into a strong Euro downtrend, but the most recent shifts in positioning suggest a noteworthy short-term correction higher may be imminent.

View an FXCM Expo presentation on the Speculative Sentiment Index for better understanding on how we use it in our trading.

ssi_table_story_body_Picture_12.png, Euro May See Bigger Bounce as Sentiment Turns

How do we interpret the SSI? Watch an FXCM Expo Presentation that explains the SSI.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive the SSI via e-mail and other reports from author David Rodríguez, e-mail subject line “Distribution List” to drodriguez@dailyfx.com

Contact David via Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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