NET-LONG POSITIONS INCREASED BY 20.1% FROM LAST WEEK
US 500: Retail trader data shows 33.9% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.95 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 07 when US 500 traded near 2539.44; price has moved 12.3% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 22.0% lower than yesterday and 20.1% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 3.1% higher than yesterday and 10.2% lower from last week.
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S&P 500 SENTIMENT SUGGESTS A BULLISH TRADING BIAS
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger US 500-bullish contrarian trading bias.