NUMBER OF NET-SHORT TRADERS INCEASE
US 500: Retail trader data shows 23.5% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 3.25 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 07 when US 500 traded near 2516.31; price has moved 10.8% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 2.0% lower than yesterday and 1.2% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 1.1% higher than yesterday and 16.4% higher from last week.
For more in-depth analysis, check out the Q1 2019 Forecast for Equities
S&P 500 SENTIMENT CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A BULLISH BIAS
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger US 500-bullish contrarian trading bias.
--- Written by Nancy Pakbaz, CFA, DailyFX Research
Follow Nancy on Twitter @NancyPakbazFX