30.6% OF TRADERS ARE NET-LONG
US 500: Retail trader data shows 30.6% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.26 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 07 when US 500 traded near 2527.99; price has moved 7.1% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 9.0% lower than yesterday and 4.8% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 0.6% lower than yesterday and 3.3% higher from last week.
For more in-depth analysis, check out the Q1 2019 Forecast for Equities
S&P 500 SENTIMENT CONTINUES TO GIVE AN UNCLEAR DIRECTION
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Positioning is more net-short than yesterday but less net-short from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed US 500 trading bias.
--- Written by Nancy Pakbaz, CFA, DailyFX Research