TRADERS REMAIN NET-SHORT
US 500: Retail trader data shows 35.0% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.86 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 07 when US 500 traded near 2549.84; price has moved 1.2% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 4.7% lower than yesterday and 18.7% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 4.9% higher than yesterday and 47.7% higher from last week.
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S&P 500 SUGGESTS A STRONG BULLISH BIAS
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger US 500-bullish contrarian trading bias.
--- Written by Nancy Pakbaz, CFA, DailyFX Research