Retail Traders Stay Net-Long Despite Recent Price Movement
US 500: Retail trader data shows 39.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.56 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since May 03 when US 500 traded near 2652.24; price has moved 3.3% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 5.2% lower than yesterday and 5.6% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 8.7% higher than yesterday and 13.6% higher from last week.
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S&P 500 Sentiment Induces a Bullish Signal
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger US 500-bullish contrarian trading bias.
--- Written by Jake Schoenleb, DailyFX Research