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GBP/USD: Net-Long Exposure Shrinks, Forecasting a Bullish Outlook

GBP/USD: Net-Long Exposure Shrinks, Forecasting a Bullish Outlook

2018-08-17 18:00:00
Jack Schwarze,
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GBPUSD Retail Trader Sentiment

Net-Short Positions Increase 9.7% Since Last Week

GBPUSD: Retail trader data shows 70.5% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 2.39 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since Apr 20 when GBPUSD traded near 1.40482; price has moved 9.4% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 4.5% lower than yesterday and 7.3% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 1.6% lower than yesterday and 9.7% higher from last week.

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Net-Long Exposure Suggests GBP/USD May Reverse Higher

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests GBPUSD prices may continue to fall. Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current GBPUSD price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.

--- Written by Jack Schwarze, DailyFX Research

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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