British Pound Likely to Trade Lower
Why and how do we use the SSI in trading? View our video and download the free indicator here
GBPUSD – A recent shift in retail forex trader sentiment suggests that the British Pound may have set an important near-term top through recent price action. Last week we noted the opposite—a sharp turn in crowd positions favored GBP/USD gains. Clearly that call was late, and when the facts change we need to change with them.
Our data shows there are currently 1.9 open GBP/USD-long positions for every one that is short, and a contrarian view of crowd sentiment favors further declines. Indeed, this represents a substantive shift from just eight days ago when the same ratio was 1.2:1. If everyone is buying, we typically look to do the opposite and sell. The clear caveat is that there is risk the GBP/USD will instead stick to a tight range. Until sentiment shifts once again, however, the big-picture view remains bearish.
See next currency section:USDCAD - Canadian Dollar Hits the Skids, Losses Likely
--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com
To receive the Speculative Sentiment Index and other reports from this author via e-mail, sign up for his distribution list via this link.
Contact David via
Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFX
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.