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British Pound Sees Extreme Sentiment – Losses Remain Likely

British Pound Sees Extreme Sentiment – Losses Remain Likely

2015-10-01 14:10:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Product
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British Pound Sees Extreme Sentiment – Losses Remain Likely

View Real-Time SSI Updates via the FXCM Trading Station Desktop

See a video on why we use the Speculative Sentiment Index as a contrarian indicator in our trading

GBPUSD – Retail forex traders have bought aggressively into British Pound declines versus the US Dollar, and indeed our data shows that positioning is at its most extreme since the GBP/USD set key lows near $1.46 in April.

The number of open long positions outnumber those short by a substantial 3.1 to 1; 76% of open positions are long. Such one-sided sentiment can often indicate that price may be near an important extreme. Yet it’s critical to note that such extremes are only clear in hindsight. Until we see a substantive turn in price and positioning we see scope for continued GBP/USD declines.

See next currency section:USDJPY - US Dollar Positioning Warns of Risks versus Yen

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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