EURUSD: Retail trader data shows 38.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.63 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Apr 18 when EURUSD traded near 1.06082; price has moved 16.4% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 1.2% higher than yesterday and 19.8% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 3.1% higher than yesterday and 2.6% higher from last week.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURUSD prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger EURUSD-bullish contrarian trading bias.
--- Written by Dylan Jusino, DailyFX Research