Euro May Trend Lower Despite Sentiment

EURUSD: Retail trader data shows 41.1% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.43 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Apr 18 when EURUSD traded near 1.05519; price has moved 16.4% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 8.3% higher than yesterday and 19.2% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 6.1% higher than yesterday and 19.5% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURUSD prices may continue to rise. Yet traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current EURUSD price trend may soon reverse lower despite the fact traders remain net-short.

--- Written by Dylan Jusino, DailyFX Research