We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • #Bitcoin prices may see a pickup in volatility ahead of the 2020 halving as the #coronavirus pandemic threatens to disrupt cross-continental $BTC mining operations. Get your market update from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/BoH24MVf4P https://t.co/4bgTwNqVvG
  • (Weekly Outlook) The Japanese #Yen faced a mixed week against currencies such as the US Dollar, Euro, British Pound and Canadian Dollar. What is ahead for $USDJPY, $EURJPY, $GBPJPY and $CAD/JPY? - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/fx_technical_weekly/2020/04/04/Japanese-Yen-Weekly-Forecast-USDJPY-EURJPY-GBPJPY-CADJPY.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/Flgbd5b2ag
  • Foreign exchange – or “#forex” – markets often pay close attention to politics and central bank policy. We offer a model for traders to gauge their impact on exchange rates. Get your market insight from @ZabelinDimitri and @CVecchioFX here: https://t.co/FbXc1Awu6a https://t.co/Qbhs4ndgPa
  • Why must financial market traders monitor both monetary and fiscal policy? Find out from @MartinSEssex here: https://t.co/Fkzk88Y5gm https://t.co/AldbSctm9V
  • Do you know how to properly Identify a double top formation? Double tops can enhance technical analysis when trading both forex or stocks, making the pattern highly versatile in nature. Learn more about the double top formation here: https://t.co/yF133btXFd https://t.co/Sjnr0iVgAf
  • Upside momentum stalls with the #DAX and #FTSE 100 vulnerable to testing lower levels as the economic backdrop deteriorates further. Get your #equities technical analysis from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/BFIaXTfDcs https://t.co/q0Mso4zWlT
  • RT @iv_technicals: *TRUMP SAYS HE'D USE TARIFFS IF NEEDED TO PROTECT OIL INDUSTRY - BBG #OOTT #WTI $USO
  • After the pattern is composed with the closing of the signal candle, then you can look to the following candle to identify a clear bias and risk points. Learn how to apply this knowledge to a trading strategy here: https://t.co/uh3NwgHBVv https://t.co/yl4KUMNmUh
  • Asia’s vast and growing importance to the world economy is not yet matched by the presence of a currency trading center to rival the established order. Get your update on market drivers in Asia here: https://t.co/r3Ku0p9dw1 https://t.co/CU5vMilpLH
  • - Gold prices may suffer if FOMC minutes spark risk aversion, concerns about liquidity - #XAUUSD could face additional selling pressure if employment data sours sentiment - Ballooning credit risks from distressed corporate debt markets may cap gold’s gains https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/chf/2020/04/04/Gold-Prices-May-Fall-on-FOMC-Minutes-Recession-Credit-Risks.html
What do we Need to see for a Euro Breakout?

What do we Need to see for a Euro Breakout?

2016-04-07 15:40:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Product
Share:
What do we Need to see for a Euro Breakout?

Why and how do we use the SSI in trading? View our video and download the free indicator here

EURUSD – Retail FX traders remain heavily short the Euro versus the US Dollar, and a purely contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to further gains. The major caveat is clear—it is entirely possible that such one-sided positions point to a major sentiment and price extreme. And indeed the Euro has already pulled back modestly from recent highs.

We would likely need to see a much larger US Dollar breakdown in order to produce a major EUR/USD run higher. It is certainly worth noting the very recent breakdown in the USD/JPY as evidence of a larger Dollar trend reversal. Yet the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index continues to hold key lows, and currencies may remain in tight ranges until further notice.

Past performance is not indicative of future results, but our data suggests traders that retail traders tend to do well in slow-moving market conditions. We may need to wait for a sharp jump in volatility to once again take a purely contrarian view of crowd sentiment and favor a EUR/USD break higher.

See next currency section:GBPUSD - Critical to Watch British Pound at Key Lows

To receive the Speculative Sentiment Index and other reports from this author via e-mail, sign up for his distribution list via this link.

Contact David via Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.