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Euro May Rally Further Against US Dollar

Euro May Rally Further Against US Dollar

2012-01-12 16:37:00
David Rodriguez, Head of Product
Share:
ssi_eur-usd_body_Picture_5.png, Euro May Rally Further Against US Dollar

EURUSD – Forex trading crowds turned aggressively net-long the Euro/US Dollar when it traded below $1.3000 and gave signal that the pair could continue its declines. Yet a more recent moderation in sentiment suggests that the pace of declines may slow. In fact, a bigger shift in sentiment would favor an important Euro reversal higher.

The ratio of long to short positions in the EURUSD stands at 1.06 as approximately 51 percent of traders are long—quite near neutral. This is mostly unchanged from yesterday, but it is significant to note that long positions fell 24.4 percent since last week while shorts have climbed 28.8 percent in the same stretch.

The considerable shift towards crowd selling warns that the Euro could soon turn higher. The risk of reversal can likewise be seen on potential sentiment extremes in Euro futures and options positioning.

How do we interpret the SSI? Watch an FXCM Expo Presentation that explains the SSI.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive the SSI via e-mail and other reports from author David Rodríguez, e-mail subject line “Distribution List” to drodriguez@dailyfx.com

Contact David via Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/DRodriguezFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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