Australian Dollar Likely to Hit Further Highs

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AUDUSD: Retail trader data shows 28.6% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.5 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 09 when AUDUSD traded near 0.71824; price has moved 7.0% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 20.2% lower than yesterday and 13.6% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 23.0% lower than yesterday and 9.1% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests AUDUSD prices may continue to rise. Positioning is less net-short than yesterday but more net-short from last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a further mixed AUDUSD trading bias.