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Australian Dollar Forecast Firmly in Favor of Weakness

Australian Dollar Forecast Firmly in Favor of Weakness

David Rodriguez, Head of Product

NEW: View Real-Time SSI Updates via the FXCM Trading Station Desktop

AUDUSD – Retail FX traders have bought aggressively into the Australian Dollar’s continued slide versus its US namesake, and a contrarian view of crowd sentiment leaves us in favor of selling into AUD declines. Indeed the majority of traders last turned net-long the AUD as it traded below $0.80 in May. Until we see a marked swing in the opposite direction we see little reason to change our long-standing bearish trading bias, and indeed any rallies are likely to be capped by significant volume-based resistance at $0.7400.

See next currency section: NZDUSD - New Zealand Dollar Expected to Continue Lower

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.