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Australian Dollar Likely to Continue Lower

Australian Dollar Likely to Continue Lower

David Rodriguez, Head of Product
Australian Dollar Likely to Continue Lower

Receive the Weekly Speculative Sentiment Index report via PDF via David’s e-mail distribution list.

AUDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the AUDUSD stands at 3.31 as 77% of traders are long. Yesterday the ratio was 2.38; 70% of open positions were long. Long positions are 9.7% higher than yesterday and 12.4% above levels seen last week. Short positions are 21.2% lower than yesterday and 30.1% below levels seen last week. Open interest is 0.5% higher than yesterday and 0.5% below its monthly average. We use our SSI as a contrarian indicator to price action, and the fact that the majority of traders are long gives signal that the AUDUSD may continue lower. The trading crowd has grown further net-long from yesterday and last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives a further bearish trading bias.

See next currency section:NZDUSD - New Zealand Dollar Forecast Firmly in Favor of Depreciation

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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