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Australian Dollar Forecast Unclear On Major Sentiment Shift

Australian Dollar Forecast Unclear On Major Sentiment Shift

David Rodriguez, Head of Product
Australian Dollar Forecast Unclear On Major Sentiment Shift

Receive the Weekly Speculative Sentiment Index report via PDF via David’s e-mail distribution list.

AUDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the AUDUSD stands at -1.03 as 49% of traders are long. Yesterday the ratio was -1.41; 42% of open positions were long. Long positions are 14.5% higher than yesterday and 6.8% below levels seen last week. Short positions are 15.8% lower than yesterday and 8.3% below levels seen last week. Open interest is 3.2% lower than yesterday and 5.0% below its monthly average. We use our SSI as a contrarian indicator to price action, and the fact that the majority of traders are short gives signal that the AUDUSD may continue higher. The trading crowd has grown less net-short from yesterday and last week. The combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives a further mixed trading bias.

See next currency section:NZDUSD - New Zealand Dollar Stumbles, Forecast Unclear

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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