News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Get your basics right. Find out what is stock market volatility and how you can trade It here:https://t.co/pK95WaqA3j https://t.co/sLMza2wKYd
  • The Japanese Yen continues to be pummeled against most major currencies. Get your weekly Japanese Yen forecast from @HathornSabin here: https://t.co/WY5rcoqNP2 https://t.co/JT8yOUgceA
  • The US Dollar paused its advance against ASEAN currencies. USD/SGD eyes a key trendline, USD/THB risks stalling, USD/PHP enters consolidation as USD/IDR continues ranging. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/Hd4mu0MKkp https://t.co/1kOgueJOXz
  • The economic calendar has its top listings (China GDP among them), but traders would do well to keep tabs on themes like the Fed outlook, an imminent Bitcoin record and lurking China contagion. What I'm watching for next week: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2021/10/16/Dollar-Deals-with-Tight-Fed-Outlook-Bitcoin-Eyes-Record-Energy-Crisis-Worries-Continue.html https://t.co/LrlZXmF8jK
  • Crude oil and coal prices hit fresh levels overnight as supply issues threaten to worsen an already fragile energy situation. Asia is particularly susceptible after regional flooding shuttered coal mine operations. Get your market update here:https://t.co/tgIsootO7y https://t.co/2RlYVgawgf
  • The Japanese Yen has moved lower across the board and is making multi-year lows against the USD. Will it snap the range, and do the same against EUR? Get your market here:https://t.co/tQYc6cPuM0 https://t.co/YDEELagtTb
  • The British Pound has bounced off its low against USD while it’s trapped in wide ranges against the EUR and CHF. How long will GBP be tied to its Continental Europe constituents? Find out here:https://t.co/xs3EMWWIom https://t.co/aHXoGbOBKq
  • (Weekly Fundy) Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Back on the Offensive as Covid Restrictions Ease #AUD $AUDUSD #Covid https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/aud/2021/10/16/Australian-Dollar-Outlook-AUDUSD-Back-on-the-Offensive-as-Covid-Restrictions-Ease.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/sGSPXKQyne
  • The Australian Dollar is seemingly back on the offensive as lockdowns ease in Sydney and Melbourne. Improving sentiment may allow AUD/USD to capitalize on rising equities and commodity prices. Get your weekly $AUD forecast from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/JDhqHY9OW1 https://t.co/JyLUT4cNnF
  • The Dow Jones and S&P 500 appear to be vulnerable as retail traders continue to buy into their pullbacks. This is shown via IGCS, which is typically a contrarian indicator. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/DsbgWvDNP6 https://t.co/xZpbBYE7Dc
Gold Price Technical Outlook: XAU/USD Recovery Faces Trend Resistance

Gold Price Technical Outlook: XAU/USD Recovery Faces Trend Resistance

Michael Boutros, Strategist

Gold Technical Price Outlook: XAU/USD Near-term Trade Levels

Gold prices rallied more than 3.2% off last week’s low with the advance now approaching near-term downtrend resistance- we’re looking for a reaction just higher for guidance. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the XAU/USD technical charts in the days ahead. Review my latest Weekly Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this gold trade setup and more.

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD Daily

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD Daily - GLD Trade Outlook - GC Technical Forecast

Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist; Gold on Tradingview

Technical Outlook: In my last Gold Price Outlook we noted that XAU/USD was,approaching uptrend support and we’re looking for a reaction.” Price rebounded off key near-term support last week at the May low / 100% Fibonacci extension of the mid-May decline at 1669/73 (low registered at 1670) with the advance now eyeing confluence resistance at 1731- a level defined by the a objective June open and the yearly high-day close. Ultimately, a breach / close above the yearly high-close at 1747 would be needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend.

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD 120min

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD 120min - GLD Trade Outlook - GC Technical Forecast

Notes: A closer look at Gold price action sees XAU/USD trading within the confines of a descending pitchfork formation with recent recovery now approaching initial resistance at 1726 backed by 1731- both regions of interest for possible topside exhaustion IF reached. Initial support now back at 1700 backed by 1691. A break / close below 1669/73 is needed to suggest a larger correction is underway towards 1645.

Bottom line: The gold rebound is now approaching near-term downtrend resistance at the objective monthly open. From a trading standpoint, look for reduce long-exposure / raise protective stops on a stretch into the upper parallel – look for a reaction there for guidance. Rallies should be capped by the upper parallel IF price is indeed heading lower. Review my latest Gold Weekly Price Outlook for a closer look at the longer-term XAU/USD technical trading levels.

For a complete breakdown of Michael’s trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy

Gold Trader Sentiment – XAU/USD Price Chart

Gold Trader Sentiment - XAU/USD Price Chart - GLD Trade Outlook - GC Technical Forecast
  • A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-long Gold- the ratio stands at +2.52 (71.56% of traders are long) – bearishreading
  • Long positions are5.59% lower than yesterday and 3.74% higher from last week
  • Short positions are 13.37% higher than yesterday and 7.74% higher from last week
  • We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall. Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Gold price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long

---

Active Trade Setups

- Written by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES