We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Bitcoin
Bullish
More View more
Real Time News
  • The #Euro has broken four-month support guiding a recovery against the US Dollar to suggest that the long-term downtrend has been re-engaged. Get your EUR/USD market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/FHiGQZ6zvV https://t.co/0ulmLWaZxK
  • The US Dollar may be on the verge of upside breakouts against #ASEAN currencies such as the Singapore Dollar and Malaysian Ringgit after Wuhan virus fears boosted $USDSGD and $USDMYR #SGD #USD - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/special_report/2020/01/29/Dollar-Technical-Outlook-May-Turn-Bullish-as-USDSGD-USDMYR-Rise.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702 https://t.co/1M1GTIo79r
  • $AUDJPY technical positioning hints prices may be on cusp of turning lower after a late-2019 bounce, recoupling with a dovish RBA policy outlook. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/z84Y0V0ZtH https://t.co/e30wIlAkbF
  • Commodities Update: As of 03:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.45% Gold: -0.20% Silver: -0.42% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/SP0lbABAbq
  • Forex Update: As of 03:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.13% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.05% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.06% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.07% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.12% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.17% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/3lgUbBP3XF
  • #EURGBP Outlook Bullish Ahead of #Brexit, BoE Rate Decision - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/home/analysis/eur-gbp/2020/01/29/EURGBP-Outlook-Bullish-Ahead-of-Brexit-BoE-Rate-Decision.html
  • My trading video for today: "Dow, Risk Attempt Recovery Amid Competing Theme: #Coronavirus, #Fed and #Earnings' https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/01/29/Dow-Risk-Attempt-Recovery-Amid-Competing-Theme-Coronavirus-Fed-and-Earnings.html?ref-author=Kicklighter?CHID=9&QPID=917719 https://t.co/VVmYBjVy63
  • #AUD has been fairly mute following AU CPI data aside vs #NZD. $AUDNZD tends to act as a "risk-neutral" pair (see article below), focusing on relative #RBA to #RBNZ shifts. #RBC and #JPMorgan pushed back on #RBA rate cut bets. RSI divergence hints bottom - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/special_report/2018/11/23/AUDNZD-Nets-Out-Market-Mood-Swings-Focus-On-RBA-RBNZ-Policy.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702 https://t.co/c30ePn9wEs
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.46%, while traders in US 500 are at opposite extremes with 71.50%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/CVurL5Fv0L
  • Silver prices suffered their biggest one-day decline since September 2019. Called it: "Silver and Gold Prices Ripe for Retreat Ahead #FOMC Outlook?" https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2020/01/28/Silver-and-Gold-Prices-Ripe-for-Retreat-Ahead-FOMC-Outlook.html https://t.co/25CpcxXtDj
Gold Price Outlook – 'Death Needle' Formation Highlights Exhaustion

Gold Price Outlook – 'Death Needle' Formation Highlights Exhaustion

2020-01-10 10:30:00
Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
Share:

Gold Price Technical Highlights:

  • Gold reverses extremely hard after trying to break 2011/12 levels
  • Daily and very possibly weekly reversal pattern forming

Gold reverses extremely hard after trying to break 2011/12 levels

The sharp reversal in gold on Wednesday carved out, what I like to call them during these dramatic turnabouts, a “death needle”. These are candlesticks highlighted by powerful bearish reversals with long tails (or wicks). In this case the name is perhaps a bit dramatic given that the outlook doesn’t look all that bearish, but nevertheless gold (& silver) look headed lower to sideways at best.

The exhaustion pattern comes following a month-long of solid rallying for gold, and just as it was trying to fully clear on through the lows created during the 2011/12 topping process. The fact such a strong area of resistance is in place makes the placement of the candle even more significant.

This doesn’t mean gold has topped indefinitely, the outlook coming out of the multi-year wedge in June is still bullish, just not for the immediate time-frame. A period of digestion marked by failed rallies with a bias towards lower prices is seen as the likely outcome in the coming weeks.

Looking for support there aren’t any levels that really stand out. The high from September may help keep things afloat around the 1550 area. Looking a bit lower the trend-line from May could be the line that helps forge a lower during this digestion phase, that could clock in around 1500.

The most aggressive of a decline envisioned from here, without really damaging the chart, is the low from the bull-flag just broken, just south of 1450. But if the upside is to remain intact this lower threshold isn’t seen as coming into play.

Barring a major reversal to the upside today, gold very well could also post a very important reversal on the weekly time-frame. This will help cement the notion of seeing prices lower to sideways at best in the weeks ahead.

Gold Forecast
Gold Forecast
Recommended by Paul Robinson
Check out the Q1 Gold Forecast today
Get My Guide

Gold Price Daily Chart (looking for some backing-and-filling)

Gold price daily chart, looking for some backing-and-filling

Gold Price Weekly Chart ('death needle' forming)

gold price weekly chart, death needle forming

Gold Price Charts by TradingView

***Updates will be provided on the above technical outlook in webinars held at 1030 GMT on Tuesday and Friday. If you are looking for ideas and feedback on how to improve your overall approach to trading, join me on Thursday each week for the Becoming a Better Trader webinar series.

Resources for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.