We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • RT @globaltimesnews: A total of 1,052 cases of #coronavirus have been reported as of Jan 25 in #Hubei Province, with 129 in critical condit…
  • RT @FactSet: $SPX is reporting revenue growth of 2.9% for Q4, led by the Health Care (11%), Utilities (9%), and Communication Services (9%)…
  • The AUD has been hit by the risk-appetite pullback occasioned by the spread of Wuhan-strain coronavirus. This week may see domestic focus return, if headlines allow, with key inflation data due. Get your $AUDUSD market update from @DavidCottleFX here: https://t.co/UIpwno0pSq https://t.co/kib4d1mA0q
  • RT @anilvohra69: USD inverted (red) is correlated to Excess Reserves (blue) and Reserve Balances (green). 1/2 https://t.co/bbO1pPWY4F
  • RT @FactSet: $SPX is reporting a decline in earnings of -1.9% for Q4, led by the Energy (-42%), Consumer Discretionary (-14%), and Material…
  • Becoming a forex trader means living and breathing the excitement, risk and reward of trading in the biggest and most liquid market in the world. Do you have what it takes? Read here to discover the qualities and processes it takes to build consistency: https://t.co/EfWEACQ6Cz https://t.co/6iMyDFqnqe
  • Knowing how to accurately value a #stock enables traders to identify and take advantage of opportunities in the stock market. Find out the difference between a stock's market and intrinsic value, and the importance of the two here: https://t.co/QszmdZFxlk https://t.co/2mjzvYvgSn
  • Previewing the Texas Rangers new home! https://t.co/WITZGSQPlc
  • Thanks for having me on @MartinSEssex https://t.co/fg8uOe16wr
  • The MACD is often used with its default setting when entering trades. However, this versatile indicator can be customized to assist traders in exiting trades too. Learn how to better incorporate the MACD into your trading strategy here: https://t.co/HnY7gzsI2q https://t.co/5F1DSvAXyy
Gold Price Target Hit: XAU/USD Rally Vulnerable Near-term

Gold Price Target Hit: XAU/USD Rally Vulnerable Near-term

2019-07-24 15:30:00
Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist
Share:

Gold prices reversed off the first major resistance target at the 100% extension of the 2016 advance and leaves the broader XAU/USD breakout vulnerable near-term. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the XAU/USD charts this week. Review this my latest Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this Gold trade setup and more.

New to Gold Trading? Get started with this Free How to Trade Gold -Beginners Guide

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD Daily

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD Daily - GLD Technical Outlook

Technical Outlook: In my latest Gold Price Weekly Outlook we noted that XAU/USD was approaching resistance at, “the August 2013 high at 1433. A breach / close above this threshold is needed to validate the breakout with such a scenario eyeing subsequent resistance targets at 1451 backed by the 50% retracement of the decline off the record highs at 1483.” A subsequent breach the following day registered a high at 1452 before marking an outside reversal candle on building divergence off the highs to close back below the 1433 pivot zone.

The advance is vulnerable below this level near-term with monthly open support eyed at 1409 with broader bullish invalidation set to the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 1382. Topside resistance objectives steady at 1451 & 1483.

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD 120min

Gold Price Chart - XAU/USD 120min - GLD Technical Outlook

Notes: A closer look at gold price action shows XAU/USD holding within the confines of a well-defined weekly opening-range just below the 1433 level. Ultimately a breach above the 61.8% retracement at 1438 would be needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend. Initial support rests at 1414 with a break below 1409 risking a larger correction in gold prices.

Why does the average trader lose? Avoid these Mistakes in your trading

Bottom line: Gold is holding a tight weekly range with the broader rally at risk near-term sub-1438. From a trading standpoint, the immediate focus is on a break of the weekly opening range – that said, the larger breakout remains vulnerable below last week’s highs. Ultimately, a larger correction may offer more favorable long-entries closer to trend support. Review my latest Gold Weekly Technical Outlook for a longer-term look at the technical picture for XAU/USD prices.

For a complete breakdown of Michael’s trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy

Gold Trader Sentiment

Gold Trader Senitment - XAU/USD Price Chart - GLD Technical Outlook
  • A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-long Gold- the ratio stands at +2.57 (72.0% of traders are long) – bearishreading
  • Long positions are10.1% higher than yesterday and 16.2% higher from last week
  • Short positions are1.8% lower than yesterday and 5.5% lower from last week
  • We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Spot Gold prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday & last week, and the combination of current positioning and recent changes gives us a stronger Spot Gold-bearish contrarian trading bias from a sentiment standpoint.

See how shifts in Gold retail positioning are impacting trend- Learn more about sentiment!

---

Active Trade Setups

- Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.