We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
More View more

DailyFX PLUS Content Now Available Freely to all DailyFX Users

Real Time News
  • $GBPUSD at the moment break-even straddles = 152pips meaning that for option traders to realize gains, the spot price must see a move greater than 152pips. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/odj2lLRrGf https://t.co/RXCBwHGluG
  • $EURGBP has fallen over 6% since August and is now rapidly approaching a critical support level not reached since May. Will a break below accelerate the aggressive selloff? Find out from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/CBM8Fg7vM0 https://t.co/0yDnEpzQqR
  • The #Euro is struggling for direction against the US Dollar but the near-term downtrend guiding it lower since late June remains firmly intact. Where is $EURUSD heading? Get your technical analysis from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/us6AINmuoe https://t.co/J4hQtyprYf
  • $DXY & $SPX500 hold steady after #FED rate cut. Get your update from @JohnKicklighter here: https://t.co/vqXlKCMDYA
  • Dow Jones & Dax 30 levels to watch ahead of the fed from @PeterHanksFX here: https://t.co/iUIrsygKz2
  • The politics of the US and UK may be starkly divided but their grip on the vast, $6.6 trillion global foreign exchange trade seems as tight as ever. Get your market update from @DavidCottleFX here:https://t.co/xTKHOvrIqg https://t.co/vtHhdnF82Q
  • How can confidence in trading help with avoiding #FOMOintrading? Find out from @WVenketas here: https://t.co/MY7j9ISn4S https://t.co/n7XwfiDZz2
  • The week saw a slightly more dovish than expected RBA minutes increase the importance of the latest labour market report, which showed an uptick in the unemployment rate to 5.3%. Where is $AUDUSD heading? Find out from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/odj2lLRrGf https://t.co/gmGjlGBvjv
  • #OOTT https://t.co/TLgP7dUqFv
  • #Silver’s recent bull run may have run its course in the short-term with the sharp sell-off from the September 4 high print at $19.66/oz.Where is Silver heading? Get your market update from @nickcawley1 here: https://t.co/oVAZ4wPR7z https://t.co/1LvLXmqnwx
Gold Prices Gyrate Within Channel After Failed Test of Yearly Highs

Gold Prices Gyrate Within Channel After Failed Test of Yearly Highs

2018-03-07 18:15:00
James Stanley, Currency Strategist

- Gold prices saw quite a bit of volatility in February, and this comes shortly after fresh yearly highs printed in January. Bulls have shown a tendency to lose motivation on tests of the zone comprising the 2016-2017 highs, and this keeps the longer-term bullish theme in check until something changes.

- While Gold prices have been softening around resistance, lower-lows and lower-highs have shown up that help to produce a bearish channel. This can open the door to a deeper bearish move before the longer-term bullish theme might be ready for resumption.

- Are you looking to improve your trading approach? Check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you’re looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.

To receive James Stanley’s Analysis directly via email, please sign up here

Gold Prices Build Channel with Bearish Bias

The month of February produced quite a bit of volatility in Gold prices, and this comes fresh off-the-heels of a new yearly high that was set in latter-January. Gold prices were dropping as we came into February, but after a bit of support developed around the $1,307.50 support zone we’ve been following. The bounce that showed thereafter failed to test the prior swing-high, and a bit of lower-high resistance showed up around $1,360; and this led to another lower-low as we opened into March. The net of all the above is a bearish channel in Gold prices off of those fresh yearly highs that were set in January.

Gold Prices Four-Hour Chart: Bearish Channel Develops Off Yearly Highs

gold prices four hour chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

Gold’s Longer-Term Resistance Zone Still Applies

To put this price action into context, we’ve added the longer-term resistance zone that we’ve been following on the below chart. This zone runs from the 2016 high around $1,375 down to the 2016 high at $1,357.50. On two separate occasions already in 2018, prices have reversed while testing this area on the chart, alluding to the continued prospect of resistance at or around this zone.

Gold Prices Daily Chart: Resistance Zone of 2016-2017 Holds the 2018 Highs

gold prices daily chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

The fact that prices have continued to test resistance is in-and-of-itself a positive; but the inability of buyers to muster much strength on tests of that zone indicates that a deeper retracement may be afoot before the longer-term bullish trend becomes attractive again.

On the below chart, we’ve added a Fibonacci retracement to the bullish move in Gold prices that began in mid-December. This was a consistent move of strength that really didn’t start to see turmoil until we turned the page into February, at which point prices began to swing wildly in both directions, which can often show up ahead of a turn in a longer-term trend. A bit of short-term resistance is showing at the 23.6% retracement of that prior bullish move, and this would point to a deeper downside move before the longer-term bullish theme becomes attractive again.

Next areas of support could be sought out around the following levels: $1,316.50, $1,301.18, $1,296 which had helped to set a double-top formation last year, followed by $1,285 which is the 61.8% retracement of that previous bullish trend. The above potential support areas could also be used as shorter-term bearish targets, with a break-above last week’s swing high of $1,341.04 invalidating the bearish setup in Gold prices

Gold Four-Hour Chart: Lower-Lows, Highs Point to Deeper Retracement Potential

gold prices four hour chart

. Chart prepared by James Stanley

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on Gold prices? Our DailyFX Forecasts for Q1 have a section specifically for Gold. We also offer a plethora of resources on our Gold page, and traders can stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive James Stanley’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.


News & Analysis at your fingertips.