We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • The European Commission proposed an ambitious recovery fund, containing the key parts of the Franco-German aid package with grants at EUR 500bln and loans at EUR 250bln. Get your $EURUSD update from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/LmIaveRajb https://t.co/LWTBVLIDBf
  • The trio of central banks overseeing the commodity currencies have already cut their main rates to all-time lows. Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here: https://t.co/OSUXrN5P3j https://t.co/3nwDel6e28
  • The tension from March continues to subside, allowing for the $USD to slide to fresh two-month-lows. Get your currencies market update from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/bRSRjUqg6Z https://t.co/Q35YpIZEd2
  • López Obrador hopes #USMCA will help tighten trade relationships between the US and Mexico. Get your currencies market update from @HathornSabin here: https://t.co/bZrUKSCGaS https://t.co/MZ7UoiWWRj
  • The $AUD may suffer as relations between Australia and China deteriorate amid dwindling growth prospects. Euro traders will be closely watching progress in talks about a €500b recovery fund proposal. Get your market update from @ZabelinDimitri here: https://t.co/LkEFJViPWY https://t.co/sofO135ElG
  • The US Dollar could rise against #ASEAN currencies such as the Singapore Dollar as US-China tensions seem to escalate. The Indian Rupee is also looking ahead of local 1Q GDP data. Get your ASEAN currencies market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/LkEFJViPWY https://t.co/ZGFaQQ3Hr2
  • The #Euro is the big driver here for DXY as it is 57% of the index. It is rising now and trying to break above the March 27 high at 11147. Get your $EURUSD technical analysis from @PaulRobinsonFX here:https://t.co/6gt3F9LuGP https://t.co/73SaL5AeXD
  • U.S. Market Analyst at https://t.co/JsVsSmefgR, Shain Vernier covers - ✔️ Safe haven assets in volatile markets ✔️ Central banks and governments ✔️ How will commodities trade in a recession Only on Trading Global Markets Decoded #podcast. Tune in here: https://t.co/1UmEzEbwiy https://t.co/EIC9YqfTec
  • Anybody else think that casting directors in movies are some of the most underrated people when it comes to giving a film/series credit?
  • No https://t.co/EoBltaP17k
Gold Prices: Seeking Out Support from the Two-Year Channel

Gold Prices: Seeking Out Support from the Two-Year Channel

2015-12-02 18:15:00
James Stanley, Strategist
Share:

To receive James Stanley’s Analysis directly via email, please sign up here.

Talking Points:

In our last article, we looked at the continued down-trend in Gold prices that has continued to run as we near the pivotal December FOMC meeting in which much of the free world is expecting that first rate hike in over nine years. It’s really seemed like a foregone conclusion that a hike was coming after the October Fed meeting saw the bank take on a more hawkish stance towards rate hikes, which was shortly followed by a blowout NFP report that made that hawkish stance seem even more confirmed.

One of the more prominent victims of this expectation for higher rates and tighter policy out of the United States has been Gold. To be sure, we’ve seen USD-strength on the back of this expectation for higher rates, but that’s really only a portion of the move. As we discussed in our last article, we’ve seen USD move up by approximately 2.8%. In the same span of time, we’ve seen Gold move lower by over 11.5%. So, surely, some of this is a stronger Dollar, but that doesn’t explain the entirety of the move. There has been exogenous selling pressure here and that’s whats exciting for the prospect of continuation in the trend.

Much as we investigated in our last piece, selling at lows can be a daunting prospect. We’ve covered this a few different times in relevance to Gold over the past month as price action has been hurdling lower and spending quite a bit of time at support. We extrapolated on this topic in the article, The Carnage Continues in Gold Prices and You Have Three Choices. We reiterated this approach in the Technical Outlook piece that followed, and then in the one after that. As mentioned then, and to reiterate again, selling while at lows can be disadvantageous for a number of reasons.

Primary of which is the fact that you may end up selling a bottom as an oversold market rockets higher, even with the longer-term downtrend still intact. So, just because the trend is really attractive, and even though there is every fundamental reason in the world for this to continue lower, that doesn’t mean that ‘hope’ is an adequate trading strategy. Instead, trade the plan.

For those looking to press the move lower in Gold prices, traders can look for resistance to come in at a threshold of previous support. Just as we looked at in our last article, these prior support levels can become new resistance levels that can be helpful for additional entries. Since a new low was barely set earlier in the trading day, traders would likely want to cast those levels a little deeper in previous price action, using a similar stance as we had investigated in our last article. Re-entries can be sought out at prior price action swing-lows of $1,063.84, $1,071.28 and then $1,087.05. Stops can be placed above the higher swing on the chart, with targets cast towards today’s low of $1,050.50, and then $1,038.60, which is the 27.2% extension of the most recent major move.

With the next two trading days full of high-importance data, traders may be able to wait around to get a significantly better short-entry in Gold, particularly if USD-weakness comes in on the back of Non-Farm Payrolls.

Gold Prices: Seeking Out Support from the Two-Year Channel

Created with Marketscope/Trading Station II; prepared by James Stanley

--- Written by James Stanley, Analyst for DailyFX.com

To receive James Stanley’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.