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Gold & Silver Price Analysis – Can These Things Rally, Even a Little?

Gold & Silver Price Analysis – Can These Things Rally, Even a Little?

Paul Robinson, Strategist

Gold/Silver technical highlights:

  • Gold trying to break trend-line resistance
  • Silver working on building a descending wedge

For the intermediate-term technical outlook and expected fundamental drivers in the months ahead, check out the DailyFX Q3 Gold Forecast.

Gold trying to break trend-line resistance

Gold price is trying to cross an important threshold, the trend-line bearing down from a swing high nearly two-months ago. It’s pressed on it several times in recent sessions, and as we discussed in yesterday’s webinar this increases the odds that it will break. Upward pressure is also coming from the top the 1205/1195 support zone.

A clean break above may not spark a sharp rally, but it will be a warning shot to shorts and a beacon of light for those looking to scoop the metal for at least a countertrend rally. For would-be longs, a safer approach may be to wait for a confirmed crossing of trend resistance and then a higher-low to form on a pullback.

Stay below the t-line and the trend remains firmly intact. The past 24-hours price has been hugging the trend-line, so we should see some type of resolution very soon.

Gold traders remain long by a hefty margin of 6-1; check out the IG Client Sentiment page for details as to why this is a headwind for higher prices.

Gold 4-hr Chart (Trend-line in focus)

Gold 4-hr chart, trend-line in focus

Silver working on building a descending wedge

Silver has a different look to it than gold, with a descending wedge forming on the 4-hr. Ideally, given the descending nature of the pattern and general trend weakness, a resolution to the downside develops.

But if the top-side trend-line is broken (likely along with gold breaking the June trend-line), then look for some type of rally to develop. However, between the two metals, gold is the preferred long candidate on any upward breaks of resistance, while silver favored as a short with a pattern breakdown.

Silver 4-hr Chart (Descending wedge developing)

Silver 4-hr chart building a descending wedge

Resources for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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