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USD/JPY Technical Analysis – A Top in Place Below 103.00?

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – A Top in Place Below 103.00?

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

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Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 102.30 (14.6% Fib exp.), 102.01 (23.6% Fib exp.)
  • Resistance: 102.77 (June 4 high), 103.19 (trend line)

The US Dollar may be preparing to move downward against the Japanese after prices put in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern. A daily close below support is at 102.30, the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion, targets the 23.6% level at 102.01. Near-term resistance at 102.77, the June 4 high, with a reversal above that opening the door for a challenge of a falling trend line set from January, now at 103.19.

Prices are too close to support to justify a short position from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a confirmed bullish reversal signal warns against taking up the long side. Wewill remain flat for now.

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis – A Top in Place Below 103.00?

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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