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USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Channel Break Hints at Losses

USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Channel Break Hints at Losses

2014-05-19 03:06:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 101.28 (61.8% Fib exp.), 100.87 (76.4% Fib exp.)
  • Resistance:101.61-72 (50% Fib exp., channel floor), 101.94 (38.2% Fib exp.)

The US Dollar is at risk of deeper losses against the Japanese Yen after prices broke support at the bottom of a rising channel in play since early February. Support lines up at 101.28, the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion, with a push through that opening the door for a test of the 76.4% level at 100.87. Resistance is in the 101.61-72 area, marked by the 50% Fib and the channel floor. A move back above that on a daily closing basis aims for the 38.2% expansion at 101.94.

Prices are wedged too closely between near-term up- and down-side technical barriers to justify taking a trade at current levels from a risk/reward perspective. We will continue to wait on the sidelines for now.

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Channel Break Hints at Losses

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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