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Forex: USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Support Found Above 101.00

Forex: USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Support Found Above 101.00

2014-03-06 05:36:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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Talking Points:

  • USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 101.38 (Feb 17 low), 100.75 (Feb 4 low)
  • Resistance:102.84 (23.6% Fib exp.), 104.14 (38.2% Fib exp.)

Prices recoiled higher from support at 101.38, the February 17 low. Near-term resistance is at 102.84, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that targeting the 38.2% level at 104.14. Alternatively, a reversal beneath support aims for the February 4 low at 100.75.

Risk/reward considerations argue against taking a trade with prices so close to relevant resistance. The pair’s strong correlation with the S&P 500 hints a turn lower may be ahead as the benchmark equity index shows signs of vulnerability but confirmation remains absent. We will remain on the sidelines for the time being.

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dailyclassics_usd-jpy_body_Picture_3.png, Forex: USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Support Found Above 101.00

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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