Never miss a story from James Stanley

Subscribe to receive daily updates on publications
Please enter valid First Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid Last Name
Please fill out this field.
Please enter valid email
Please fill out this field.
Please select a country

I’d like to receive information from DailyFX and IG about trading opportunities and their products and services via email.

Please fill out this field.

Your Forecast Is Headed to Your Inbox

But don't just read our analysis - put it to the rest. Your forecast comes with a free demo account from our provider, IG, so you can try out trading with zero risk.

Your demo is preloaded with £10,000 virtual funds, which you can use to trade over 10,000 live global markets.

We'll email you login details shortly.

Learn More about Your Demo

You are subscribed to James Stanley

You can manage your subscriptions by following the link in the footer of each email you will receive

An error occurred submitting your form.
Please try again later.

Talking Points:

- USD/CHF has continued to show strength even with a persistently-weak US Dollar, and the pair rallied up to a fresh two-month high last week ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls out of the United States.

- USD/CHF is continuing a pullback that started last Friday after that disappointing NFP report, and the pair is fast-approaching a couple of areas of prior higher-low support around .9550 and .9520. Will bulls respond to produce a higher-low above the .9500 psychological level?

- Are you looking to improve your trading approach? Check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you’re looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.

To receive James Stanley’s Analysis directly via email, please sign up here

USD/CHF Strength Continues Even as USD-Weakness Remains Pervasive

While a bearish US Dollar has remained prominent in some form or the other in many major currency pairs, USD/CHF has shown very little weakness as the pair has continued to rally up to fresh monthly highs. Last week saw that strength continue up to the .9650 level to set a fresh two-month high. Dollar-weakness on the heels of a disappointing NFP report on Friday helped to produce a pullback, and as we open up a fresh week, the pair is continuing to pull lower after last week’s bullish breakout.

USD/CHF Daily Chart: Pullback After Fresh Two-Month Highs .9650

usdchf daily chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

As we move deeper into this week, a couple of pertinent items out of the US are likely to keep the Dollar volatile. On Wednesday, we get March inflation numbers in the morning and later in the day we get the release of FOMC minutes from last month’s rate hike. After that – we begin to wade into US corporate earnings for last quarter, and this can keep the Dollar in the spotlight as expectations for earnings growth this quarter out of the US is very high.

In USD/CHF, the primary theme appears to be one of continuation. The pair has put in a rather sharp rally after setting fresh two-year lows in mid-February, and strength in the pair has largely continued ever since. For those looking at bullish plays in the US Dollar, or for those looking for ways to offset short-USD exposure from other setups, the long side of USD/CHF can remain as attractive if we stay above the .9500 psychological level.

On the below four-hour chart, we’re focusing in on the recent bullish advance, highlighting the two prior higher-low swings of support around .9550 and .9520. If we break back-below the psychological level of .9500, the bullish theme comes into question, and if we break-below the .9420 area of prior resistance/recent support, the bullish bias could be abandoned in favor of short-side setups in the pair.

USD/CHF Four-Hour Chart: Higher-Low Support Potential Above the .9500 Level

usdchf four hour chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on FX pairs? Our DailyFX Forecasts for Q1 have a section for the more popular major currencies. We also offer a plethora of resources on our USD/CHF page, and traders can stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To receive James Stanley’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX