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USD/CHF Technical Analysis – 8-Month Resistance Pressured

USD/CHF Technical Analysis – 8-Month Resistance Pressured

2014-05-11 23:02:00
Ilya Spivak, Sr. Currency Strategist
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Talking Points:

  • USD/CHF Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.8829 (50% Fib exp.), 0.8799 (38% Fib exp.)
  • Resistance: 0.8859-64 (61.8% Fib exp., trend line), 0.8896 (76.4% Fib exp.)

The US Dollar advanced against the Swiss Franc as we suspected after prices put in a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. The pair has moved to test resistance in the 0.8859-64 area, marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion and a falling trend line set from September. A break above this barrier on a daily closing basis initially exposes the 76.4% level at 0.8896. Near-term support is at 0.8829, the 50% Fib, with a move below that eyeing the 38.2% expansion at 0.8799.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering long with prices sitting squarely at relevant resistance. On the other hand, taking up the short side looks premature without a defined bearish reversal signal. We will remain flat for now, waiting for an actionable opportunity to emerge.

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis – 8-Month Resistance Pressured

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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