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USD/CAD Technical Overview: Grind Lower May Give-way to Big Rally

USD/CAD Technical Overview: Grind Lower May Give-way to Big Rally

Paul Robinson, Strategist

USD/CAD Technical Outlook

  • USD/CAD grind lower may be coming to an end
  • Price action smacks of potential for powerful move
  • Trend resistance stands in the way, testing it now

USD/CAD Technical Overview: Grind Lower May Give-way to Big Rally

USD/CAD remains on the radar as a candidate for an explosive move against its primary trend. The grinding price action of the last few months has been difficult to fight, but hasn’t resulted in prices all that lower than where we were a few months ago.

The narrowing swings with both a top and bottom-side trend-line could soon lead to a big squeeze higher. Both trend-lines have seen quite a bit of action recently, with the top-side trend-line the primary focus right now.

If it maintains as resistance, and for now it should be respected as such, then the trend remains towards another swing to a cycle low. However, if the trend-line breaks with authority then we could see a quick move towards the highest levels in several months.

First up on a breakout would be 12747 followed by 12875 and then a big test of a long-term threshold around the 13000-line. Of course, the trend-line could break and price momentum fizzles out quickly, so it would ideal to see the trend-line broken without hesitation following.

From a tactical standpoint, the line-in-the-sand is being tested right now. For would-be shorts, this is an attractive spot from a risk/reward perspective. For would-be longs, a climb above resistance is needed to get upward momentum into gear.

USD Forecast
USD Forecast
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USD/CAD Daily Chart (has squeeze potential above trend-line)

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USD/CAD Charts by TradingView

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Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.