We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Bitcoin
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • The $USD may be set to rise against the Mexican Peso after breaking chart resistance. Stalled passage of the USMCA trade pact may offer fundamental fuel for gains. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here:https://t.co/TzhmEoFjuY https://t.co/pXykmgTddJ
  • $USDCAD Daily Pivot Points: S3: 1.3079 S2: 1.3161 S1: 1.3215 R1: 1.3297 R2: 1.3326 R3: 1.3409 https://www.dailyfx.com/pivot-points?ref=SubNav?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=DFXGeneric&utm_campaign=twr
  • This was the best week for my #ASEAN #USD Index in over a month as uncertainties over a US-China #tradedeal brewed. Now we are sitting just under a former rising support line from March. But the dominant downtrend still holds via potential falling resistance from September https://t.co/jypDk8d9LJ
  • Forex Update: As of 21:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.03% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.02% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.04% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.36% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.43% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.59% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/yfcHpARHwH
  • Hands down the most extreme speculative positioning signal among the futures contracts I watch: $VIX net short hits a fresh record -218,362 contracts https://t.co/4ox67gqD16
  • What is a doji morning star candlestick? How can you use it in your #tradingstrategy? Find out from @RichardSnowFX here: https://t.co/w7Y4qj2Qkm https://t.co/UloZ649bnI
  • Commodities Update: As of 21:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: -0.02% Gold: -0.13% Silver: -0.48% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/bIRXfcVsLF
  • Perhaps the most provocative FX-based speculative futures positioning picture for me though is gulf between $USDMXN and the net spec bearing https://t.co/MOXb4S7KKQ
  • $NZDUSD is another interesting backdrop for futures speculators. Slowly rounding up from its extreme net short just as the underlying climbs up from a decade low https://t.co/3tElrXI0r2
  • In the COT net speculative futures update, an interesting picture in interest around $GBPUSD. Enthusiasm is clearly flagging https://t.co/MupQpagAEl
USD/CAD Technical Analysis: CAD Leaves Low-Vol G10 In Its Tracks

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: CAD Leaves Low-Vol G10 In Its Tracks

2017-06-13 13:33:00
Tyler Yell, CMT, Currency Strategist
Share:

Can CAD strength continue? See our forecast to find out what is driving market trends!

Talking Points:

The emerging Canadian Dollar strength caught a lot of traders off guard this week. For one, in a low volatility environment, a strong move tends to lack follow-through. CAD strengthened impressively on Friday after an employment report that featured a 77k increase in full-time jobs vs. an expected 15k increase.

The real shot in the arm to the Canadian dollar that allowed it to build on Friday’s gains came off the back of comments from Bank of Canada’s Sr. Deputy Governor, Carolyn Wilkin’s provided a handful of encouraging notes about the Canadian economy that were echoed by Governor Stephen Poloz on Tuesday morning. Wilkins stated that the Bank of Canada was able to get ahead of the Oil price declines effect on the economy with rate cuts from years ago and that they see Q1 growth at an impressive rate with broadening growth. On Tuesday, Governor Poloz shared that they are encouraged by economic growth that is both broadening and gaining momentum, and he added that recent BoC easing actions have “done their job.”

The Canadian Dollar strength was also seen via the positively correlated 2-yr Canadian sovereign yields, which rose by more than 8pbs or ~11%. These supportive comments from the Bank of Canada members came at a good time as leveraged institutions per the CFTC’s Commitment of Traders report in the week ended June 6 cut their short positions on CAD futures by ~1,100.

Since trading near 1.3550 before Friday’s Canadian employment report, the Canadian dollar has strengthened by 300 pips against the USD and 750 pips against the vulnerable British Pound. As mentioned earlier, the low volatility environment discourages chasing breakouts. However, a break and close below the channel on the chart below that aligns with the April low at 1.3216 is likely indicative of a behavioral shift in the Canadian Dollar that would favor more structural medium-term strength. The first focus on a significant break from the long-term rising channel would be the 2017 low at 1.2970.

Join Tyler at his Daily Closing Bell webinars at 3 pm ETto discuss key market developments.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: CAD Leaves Low-Vol G10 In Its Tracks

Chart Created by Tyler Yell, CMT

USD/CAD Insight from IG Client Positioning

The sentiment highlight section is designed to help you see how DailyFX utilizes the insights derived from IG Client Sentiment, and how client positioning can lead to trade ideas. If you have any questions on this indicator, you are welcome to reach out to the author of this article with questions at tyell@dailyfx.com.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: CAD Leaves Low-Vol G10 In Its Tracks

USDCAD: Retail trader data shows 61.0% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.57 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 11.3% higher than yesterday and 8.3% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 16.6% lower than yesterday and 35.3% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests USDCAD prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger USDCAD-bearish contrarian trading bias.(Emphasis mine)

---

Shorter-Term USD/CAD Technical Levels: Tuesday, June 13, 2017

For those interested in shorter-term levels of focus than the ones above, these levels signal important potential pivot levels over the next 48-hours.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: CAD Leaves Low-Vol G10 In Its Tracks

Contact and discuss markets with Tyler on Twitter: @ForexYell

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.