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USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Channel Support in Focus

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Channel Support in Focus

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

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Talking Points:

  • USD/CAD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.1204, 1.1092, 1.1002
  • Resistance: 1.1329, 1.1406, 1.1483

The US Dollar may be topping against its Canadian counterpart as negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing upside momentum. Near-term term support is at 1.1204, the intersection of a rising channel floor and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 1.1092-98 zone (38.2% level, September 15 high). Alternatively, a reversal above the 38.2% Fib expansion at 1.1329 opens the door for a challenge of 1.1406, marked by the 23.6% threshold and the channel top.

Positioning is inconclusive. RSI divergence is not an actionable signal by itself and confirmation is needed via invalidation of the uptrend from September’s lows. With that in mind, we will remain flat for now until greater clarity emerges.

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USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Channel Support in Focus

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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