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Talking Points:

  • USD/CAD Technical Strategy: Long at 1.0935
  • Support: 1.1017 (14.6% Fib exp.), 1.0857 (Apr 9 low)
  • Resistance: 1.1056 (trend line), 1.1116 (23.6% Fib exp.)

The US Dollar continues to inch upward against its Canadian counterpart having bounced as expected after forming a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. Prices edged past the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion at 1.1017 to expose a rising trend line set from mid-January (now at 1.1056). A break above this barrier on a daily closing basis initially exposes the 23.6% Fib at 1.1116. Alternatively, a move back below 1.1017 sees the next layer of support is at 1.0857, the April 9 low.

We bought USD/CAD at 1.0935 and took profit on half of the trade at 1.1017. The remainder of the position remains open to capture the possibility of a move above resistance, exposing 1.1116 as the next upside objective. The stop-loss is now at the breakeven level (1.0935).

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USD/CAD Technical Analysis – Looking for Break Above 1.11

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for