News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • RT @BrendanFaganFx: Robinhood IPO Set to Take Equity Markets by Storm, First Trades at $38 $HOOD Link: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/07/29/Robinhood-IPO-Set-to-Take-Equity-Markets-by-Storm-First-Trades-at-38.html
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.47%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 74.57%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/ydWxl8vBrm
  • RT @IGSquawk: Robinhood opens at $38 before briefly touching through $40 $HOOD 37.05 -2.5%
  • Commodities Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 3.09% Gold: 1.40% Oil - US Crude: 1.36% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/RaPjCTUhoN
  • Forex Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.86% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.66% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.41% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.33% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.30% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.28% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/aedAWqGkhx
  • In the aftermath of the FOMC's taper talk, the US 2Q GDP miss has added to the Dollar's tumble but not weighed the S&P 500. DailyFX's @JohnKicklighter 👇 https://t.co/639Y34LoWI
  • In the aftermath of the FOMC's taper talk, the US 2Q GDP miss has added to the Dollar's tumble but not weighed the S&P 500. DailyFX's @JohnKicklighter discusses Down pointing backhand index👇 https://t.co/hJbVcsxyER
  • Indices Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.54% Wall Street: 0.52% Germany 30: -0.05% FTSE 100: -0.08% France 40: -0.18% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/KovwTZk8iu
  • $GBPUSD not far off the big 1.4000 psych level that has been in focus for much of the year https://t.co/ieYPFxCX3l
  • $USDCAD has dropped below its 20-day moving average for the first time in 38 trading days. As far as monetary policy focused crosses go, this is a good one; and the BOC has already tapered twice as the Fed drags its feet https://t.co/18gBHWKzJ8
Forex: USD/CAD Technical Analysis – Further Weakness Seen Ahead

Forex: USD/CAD Technical Analysis – Further Weakness Seen Ahead

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Talking Points:

  • USD/CAD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 1.0970 (38.2% Fib ret.), 1.0892 (50% Fib ret.)
  • Resistance: 1.1067 (23.6% Fib ret.), 1.1223 (Jan 31 high)

The Canadian Dollar’s march higher against its US namesake paused a bit after prices slipped below support at 1.1067 marked by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Positioning continues to suggest the path of least resistance favors the downside however, with sellers aiming for the 38.2% level at 1.0970. A break below this boundary targets the 50% Fib at 1.0892. Alternatively, a reversal back above 1.1067 aims for the January 31 high at 1.1223.

As we noted yesterday, risk/reward considerations allow for a short position with an entry price no lower than 1.1019. However, we will opt to remain on the sidelines from a tactical perspective considering the pair’s relationship with yield spreads. That warns against the short side as the priced-in policy outlook for the coming year leans in favor of USD by a hefty 31bps. With that in mind, we will treat the pullback as a budding buying opportunity, not a tradable downswing.

Confirm your chart-based trade setups with the Technical Analyzer. New to FX? Start Here!

dailyclassics_usd-cad_body_Picture_12.png, Forex: USD/CAD Technical Analysis – Further Weakness Seen Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES