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US Dollar Technical Analysis: Downswing Risk Still Seen

US Dollar Technical Analysis: Downswing Risk Still Seen

2014-11-13 00:42:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
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Talking Points:

The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Indexmay be gearing up for a turn lower after prices produced a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Near-term support is at 11211, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 11143-55 area (October 3 high, 38.2% level). Alternatively, a reversal above the 50% Fib expansion at 11295 clears the way for a test of the 61.8% Fib threshold at 11329.

Our long-term US Dollar outlook calls for a broadly stronger US Dollar against its major currency counterparts. With that in mind, we are holding long via theMirror Trader US Dollar currency basket.

US Dollar Technical Analysis: Downswing Risk Still Seen

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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