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FTSE 100 Technical Outlook – Choppy Price Action Still Has Bullish Potential

FTSE 100 Technical Outlook – Choppy Price Action Still Has Bullish Potential

2020-08-06 12:30:00
Paul Robinson, Strategist
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FTSE 100 Technical Highlights:

  • FTSE may be in process of building bull-flag
  • For now still in weak position, some more work needed

FTSE may be in process of building bull-flag

The FTSE is trying to find its footing and with general global appetite, especially in the U.S., remaining relatively solid, we could see the lagging UK index make its way higher at some point. It will take some more time to develop, but a bull-flag pattern may be in the works.

Bull-flags are not to be acted on though until they are confirmed as a pattern – bottom-line, don’t anticipate their development, rather react to the breakout once formed. The trigger of the formation is a breakout above the trend-line running off the June high over the July high. The underside parallel is the June low and thus far the August low. Price could drop a little lower into the line and still hold up.

The trend within one of these patterns is still negative, though, as evidenced by the series of lower-lows and lower-highs, which means that should the pattern not form and we see this sequence of lower-lows and lower-highs continue, at some point sellers could come in earnest and downside momentum pick up.

To confirm the pattern, a run and break of the top-side trend-line is needed. Crossing 6323 (July high) will further confirm the break as well. Should we see an eventual break, then a run at the December 2018 low at 6536 and better could be in the works.

For traders looking to play the developing pattern within its confines, turns off the lower and upper thresholds could offer near-term fade-trades within the congestion.

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---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

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