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  • US Indices are struggling again today. The Nasdaq is now down 10% from the record highs of mid February, entering correction territory. The $VIX has risen to its highest level since last week's bond market event. DOW -1.31% NDX -2.37% SPX -1.48% RUT -2.68% $DIA $QQQ $SPY $IWM
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  • Overall, Powell sticks with the current Fed stance and hence the move with the USD and UST yields higher, while gold tests 1700
  • #Gold is hitting fresh nine-month low in the aftermath of Fed Chair Powell's speech, falling to currently trade right around $1,700 for the first time since June of 2020. $XAU $GLD
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.38%, while traders in Germany 30 are at opposite extremes with 70.84%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • $Silver testing confluent support, trendline + 23.6 fibo $SLV $XAG
  • $EURUSD tripping back down to the 1.2000 level on these Powell comments
  • Commodities Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 5.61% Gold: -0.15% Silver: -0.56% View the performance of all markets via
  • $DXY US Dollar Index spiking to session highs on the back of this move in yields. $EURUSD tumbling down to the 1.2000-level.
  • The gold breakdown is now testing the first major hurdle at downtrend support early in the month and we’re on the lookout for possible inflection into this region. Get your $XAUUSD technical analysis from @MBForex here:
Dow Jones, S&P 500 Technical Outlook Weakening on Tepid Momentum

Dow Jones, S&P 500 Technical Outlook Weakening on Tepid Momentum

Paul Robinson, Strategist

U.S. Indices Technical Highlights:


U.S. stock indices aren’t looking particularly strong these days, grinding higher by a handful of basis points at a time. The S&P 500 continues to ride along a top-side trend-line that could also constitute the last leg of a reverse symmetrical triangle, also known to some as a “Megaphone”. These patterns are marked by higher highs and lower lows that indicate a growing instability in the trend.

The lack of momentum at this juncture with the pattern formation suggests we may soon see a decline get underway. The prior high at 3870 is the first level of support, followed by the important March trend-line.

From a tactical standpoint, shorting markets like this can be a tough endeavor as they can continue to inch their way higher. It can become ‘death by a thousand cuts’. However, longs look at risk here, so existing short-term-minded longs may look to button up trailing stops, while fresh longs don’t hold much appeal from a risk/reward perspective.

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S&P 500 Daily Chart (RST pattern, tepid momentum)

spx daily chart

S&P 500 Chart by TradingView

The Dow Jones looks similar to the S&P 500, but with its own twists. There isn’t the same reverse symmetrical triangle formation, but a top-side trend-line does exist. There is also a trend-line running over head from June that could be problematic with momentum weak. It won’t take much to dip back below the old high, with the March trend-line, as is the case with the S&P, being the major trend-line to watch on weakness.

Dow Jones Daily Chart (top-side trend-line to watch)

DJI chart

Dow Jones Chart by TradingView

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---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.