News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Senator Wyden says the Senate Majority Leader's aid proposal is "disastrous" - BBG $SPX $DXY
  • Commodities Update: As of 21:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 6.08% Gold: 2.12% Oil - US Crude: -0.41% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/BONy6uctXc
  • My top three charts for most wanton volatility this past session in order: Moderna ($MRNA); Bitcoin ($BTCUSD) and $EURGBP (15min)
  • AUD/USD consolidates ahead of Australia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report as the data is expected to confirm the first recession in nearly 30 years. Get your $AUDUSD market update from @DavidJSong here:https://t.co/JFPEGVAZDj https://t.co/0fTHbd6t3t
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 93.56%, while traders in EUR/USD are at opposite extremes with 76.59%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/MSlYB2cBJ4
  • #Sterling Outlook: $GBPUSD Breakout Targets 2019 / 2020 Yearly Highs - https://t.co/reEpFP3uuV https://t.co/4Lq11aWSut
  • US Equity Update (Tuesday Close): $DJI +0.63% $SPX +1.13% $NDX +1.52% $RUT +0.89% $VIX +1.46%
  • Indices Update: As of 21:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 0.05% Wall Street: -0.00% US 500: -0.01% France 40: -0.08% Germany 30: -0.09% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/THoGZiCXvk
  • Things are popping in the FX market. $EURUSD is working on its biggest rally since March - and third biggest since Jan 12, 2018 when you exclude pandemic volatility. Even more impressive on weekly/monthly charts https://t.co/b7UjY0rEaY
  • Fed's Evans says Janet Yellen will be a great Treasury Secretary $DXY $SPX
S&P 500: Patiently Awaiting Make or Break Event

S&P 500: Patiently Awaiting Make or Break Event

2017-01-19 12:16:00
Paul Robinson, Strategist
Share:

What’s inside:

  • S&P 500 chop continues, in limbo
  • High-level base, inverse H&S formation still in place; need to trigger first to validate
  • Tough trading environment calls for patience

Trading Guides and Forecasts

What is there new to say about the S&P 500 since we last discussed it on Tuesday?Not much. The market is in limbo at this juncture. From day-to-day the market looks headed higher, then maybe lower, then higher; but really it isn’t doing anything at all.

The high-level base, taking on the shape of an inverse H&S formation, is still setting up as it stands right now. But before it can come into play there needs to be an official trigger of the pattern by closing above the neckline and beyond the 2282 high set on Jan 6.

The market is currently trading outside the trend-line rising up off the November low, but given it didn’t break it and decline is encouraging. What would discourage the bulls’ case is a decline below the Jan 12 low at 2254 and Dec 14 low at 2248. At that juncture, the market would be well below the top-side trend-line extending over the 2007 and 2015 peaks. The S&P has responded twice off this line, so while it’s long-term in nature, it is mattering right now. A hard break below support would take the H&S scenario off the table, too.

S&P 500: Daily

S&P 500: Patiently Awaiting Make or Break Event

Created with Tradingview

It's tough trading right now across all time-frames. Choppiness is making it difficult for day-traders and swing-traders alike. This will of course change with time, but patience in waiting for further signaling will serve us best for the time-being. What will shake the market free from the recent malaise? Your guess is as good as anyone’s. We’ve got our levels noted, though, when things do get moving again.

See the Webinar Calendar for a schedule of upcoming live events with DailyFX analysts.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can receive Paul’s analysis directly via email by signing up here.

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinonFX.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES