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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Kiwi Dollar Down Trend Back in Play?

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Kiwi Dollar Down Trend Back in Play?

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NZD/USD Technical Strategy: 0.6869

  • Evening Star candle pattern, negative RSI divergence hint at topping
  • Break below counter-trend support line bolsters the case for weakness
  • Short position re-established, initially targeting support above 0.67

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The New Zealand Dollar may be on the verge of resuming the down trend against its US counterpart. The appearance of a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern coupled with negative RSI divergence signaled possible topping. Confirmation followed with a break of counter-trend line support.

From here, the next layer of major support looks to be in the 0.6686-0.6716 area. A break below that confirmed on a daily closing basis exposes former support in the 0.6592-0.6619 zone. Resistance is at 0.6969, the December 4 high, followed by the June 6 peak at 0.7060.

NZD/USD Chart (Daily)

Risk/reward parameters appeared acceptable to attempt re-entry after a prior short NZD/USD trade was stopped out and exposure was established at 0.6869. The trade initially targets 0.6716. A stop-loss to be activated on a daily close above 0.6969.


--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for

To contact Ilya, use the Comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.